Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.446477 0.490186 0.537718 0.593492 0.657459 0.728899 0.815246
2025-08-03 0.364106 0.421940 0.489755 0.576135 0.684683 0.818582 0.999496
2025-08-10 0.312947 0.375612 0.452845 0.556914 0.696504 0.881928 1.155343
2025-08-17 0.279796 0.344900 0.428277 0.545732 0.711858 0.946720 1.320645
2025-08-24 0.255152 0.321399 0.408948 0.536953 0.726423 1.009427 1.492793
2025-08-31 0.235390 0.301946 0.392277 0.528659 0.738780 1.068625 1.670262
2025-09-07 0.223271 0.291503 0.386557 0.534729 0.772490 1.165538 1.935012
2025-09-14 0.208394 0.275802 0.371625 0.524795 0.778707 1.216612 2.126756
2025-09-21 0.197708 0.265168 0.362996 0.523341 0.798074 1.293140 2.389995
2025-09-28 0.184700 0.250182 0.346563 0.507556 0.790457 1.317981 2.548216
2025-10-05 0.181379 0.249235 0.351304 0.526634 0.846637 1.475455 3.065855
2025-10-12 0.177006 0.246323 0.352620 0.539864 0.893678 1.623964 3.623071
2025-10-19 0.170765 0.240396 0.349078 0.545047 0.927672 1.755804 4.210103
2025-10-26 0.160979 0.228403 0.334918 0.530096 0.919992 1.792871 4.535607
2025-11-02 0.151649 0.216613 0.320310 0.512987 0.905657 1.811503 4.813708
2025-11-09 0.144405 0.207764 0.310042 0.502993 0.904983 1.863994 5.243620
2025-11-16 0.138122 0.200132 0.301334 0.495136 0.907851 1.926454 5.753312
2025-11-23 0.132395 0.193110 0.293230 0.487707 0.910673 1.989734 6.313441
2025-11-30 0.129174 0.190043 0.291784 0.493144 0.943538 2.145391 7.418466
2025-12-07 0.123938 0.183354 0.283537 0.484244 0.941538 2.199092 8.075714
2025-12-14 0.120197 0.179005 0.279210 0.482942 0.957712 2.313054 9.181576
2025-12-21 0.114823 0.171650 0.269058 0.468786 0.940330 2.316282 9.639783
2025-12-28 0.114210 0.172390 0.273661 0.485893 1.004330 2.608074 12.393846